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MFA Financial Inc. (NYSE:MFA) Has Risen 3.82%. Its $1.19 Billion Stock Could Fall Down -42.02%.

July 28, 2022
MFA Financial Inc

MFA Financial Inc

MFA Financial Inc. (NYSE:MFA) price is hovering higher on Wednesday, July 27, jumping 3.82% above its previous close.

A look at today’s price movement shows that the recent level at last check reads $11.53, with intraday deals fluctuating between $11.37 and $11.57. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.65 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 10.45. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $19.40 and 52-week low of $9.72. The stock subtracted -0.77% on its value in the past month.

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MFA Financial Inc., which has a market valuation of $1.19 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Feb 21, 2022 – Feb 25, 2022. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 1.76, while the dividend yield is 15.26%. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking MFA have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 0.41 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $1.42 for the year 2022 and up to $2.09 for 2023. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of -46.20% for the year and 47.20% for the next year.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $57.87 million, with the likely lows of $40.4 million and highs of $69.4 million. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $234.65 million for the company’s annual revenue in 2022. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow -42.60% below that which the company brought in 2022.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with no upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give MFA a short term outlook of 50% Sell on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 100% Sell, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 100% Sell.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 6 analysts have assigned MFA a recommendation rating as follows: 4 rate it as a Hold; 1 advise Buy while 1 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the MFA Financial Inc. (MFA) stock as Underweight, with 0 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Hold, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

The overview shows that MFA’s price is at present 6.67% off the SMA20 and -0.98% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 56.55, with weekly volatility standing at 2.38%. The indicator jumps to 3.58% when calculated based on the past 30 days. MFA Financial Inc. (NYSE:MFA)’s beta value is holding at 1.65, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 0.44. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $12.75-$17.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $14.95. Based on this estimate, we see that today’s price at last check is roughly -6.52% off the estimated low and -42.02% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $15.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level MFA would be -25.31% from recent price.

Turning out attention to how the MFA Financial Inc. stock has performed in comparison to its peers in the industry, here’s what we find: MFA’s stock is 3.82% on the day and -38.28% in the past 12 months, while PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust (PMT) traded 1.97% in the latest session and is positioned -26.36% down on its price 12 months ago. Another comparison is with Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) whose stock price is up 3.40% in the current trading session, and has flourished -53.78% over the past year. Also, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) is currently showing up trend of 1.73% while its price kept floating at -25.09% over the past year. Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index has rallied 1.50% in today’s early trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial also seeing a positive session on the day with 0.45%.

An analysis of the MFA Financial Inc. (NYSE:MFA) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 1.73 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 1.23 million.

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